Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hodgson wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Smithson 54.5% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 80.0%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 82.0%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 77.4%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Hodgson
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Hodgson
Smithson
Last 8: Hodgson 1-7 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
2
Hodgson
Smithson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
4
Hodgson
Smithson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hodgson
Smithson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
55.5% (371)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
75.0% (8)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
53.5% (99)
-13.1%
On power play, Smithson has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Hodgson is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Hodgson shoots right. Smithson is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Smithson
Home
49.5% (382)
55.4% (249)
Away
44.4% (430)
55.5% (229)
By Period
Hodgson
Smithson
P1
48.5%
55.8%
P2
48.9%
52.6%
P3
42.5%
56.6%
OT
53.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |