Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Hodgson wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Smithson 55.7% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 59.3%
Defensive zone
Smithson 84.8%
Neutral zone
Smithson 57.7%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Hodgson
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Hodgson
Smithson
Last 10: Hodgson 5-5 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
5
4
Hodgson
Smithson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
6
Hodgson
Smithson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
5
3
Hodgson
Smithson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
59.4% (175)
-13.0%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
66.7% (3)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
52.6% (38)
-4.8%
On power play, Smithson has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Hodgson is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Hodgson shoots right. Smithson is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Smithson
Home
48.8% (490)
63.2% (106)
Away
44.7% (479)
53.6% (110)
By Period
Hodgson
Smithson
P1
46.6%
69.6%
P2
51.2%
48.3%
P3
42.4%
57.4%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
64.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |