Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 84.6%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 87.8%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 87.9%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Hodgson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Hodgson
Pavelski
Last 10: Hodgson 2-8 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
4
Hodgson
Pavelski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Hodgson
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Hodgson
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
53.6% (8,791)
-7.4%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
58.2% (2,122)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
50.9% (1,138)
-8.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Pavelski
Home
48.8% (1,431)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Hodgson
Pavelski
P1
47.9%
53.5%
P2
48.9%
55.2%
P3
42.3%
53.9%
OT
44.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 5, 2013 | OT | 04:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 2, 2012 | OT | 04:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |