Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Hodgson wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 76.7%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 81.4%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 78.8%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Hodgson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hodgson
Pavelski
Last 8: Hodgson 2-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Hodgson
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Hodgson
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hodgson
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
55.7% (849)
-9.3%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
60.0% (205)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
52.0% (152)
-4.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Hodgson is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Hodgson shoots right. Pavelski is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Pavelski
Home
48.8% (490)
59.2% (622)
Away
44.7% (479)
52.6% (584)
By Period
Hodgson
Pavelski
P1
46.6%
54.1%
P2
51.2%
56.4%
P3
42.4%
56.4%
OT
44.4%
65.6%
Final 5 min
44.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 5, 2013 | OT | 04:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |