Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Toews 58.6% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 76.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 80.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 72.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Hodgson
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hodgson
Toews
Last 5: Hodgson 3-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
2
Hodgson
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
58.5% (775)
-12.1%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
64.9% (225)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
55.8% (120)
-17.7%
On power play, Toews has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Hodgson shoots right. Toews is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Toews
Home
50.3% (286)
63.0% (567)
Away
43.6% (424)
55.8% (570)
By Period
Hodgson
Toews
P1
48.2%
59.6%
P2
49.2%
58.2%
P3
41.9%
60.7%
OT
22.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2012 | OT | 01:51 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |