Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 38-26 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 83.9%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 87.6%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Hodgson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
38
(64 meetings)
26
38
Hodgson
Staal
Last 10: Hodgson 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
11
14
Hodgson
Staal
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
10
Hodgson
Staal
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
9
14
Hodgson
Staal
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
55.9% (14,620)
-9.7%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
62.7% (1,745)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
48.0% (2,896)
-5.3%
On power play, Staal has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Staal
Home
48.8% (1,431)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Hodgson
Staal
P1
47.9%
55.2%
P2
48.9%
55.9%
P3
42.3%
54.9%
OT
44.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |