Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Staal 54.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 71.2%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 70.6%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Hodgson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Hodgson
Staal
Last 9: Hodgson 2-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Hodgson
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Hodgson
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hodgson
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
55.3% (1,171)
-8.9%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
56.6% (173)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
42.9% (133)
+4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hodgson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Hodgson shoots right. Staal is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Staal
Home
48.8% (490)
54.7% (720)
Away
44.7% (479)
54.0% (757)
By Period
Hodgson
Staal
P1
46.6%
51.2%
P2
51.2%
57.4%
P3
42.4%
54.6%
OT
44.4%
52.2%
Final 5 min
44.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |