Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hodgson wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 57.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Hodgson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hodgson
Bjugstad
Last 7: Hodgson 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Hodgson
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
1
Hodgson
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
0
Hodgson
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
48.3% (937)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
56.1% (148)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
34.2% (38)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hodgson is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Hodgson shoots right. Bjugstad is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Bjugstad
Home
48.8% (490)
50.5% (574)
Away
44.7% (479)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Hodgson
Bjugstad
P1
46.6%
52.4%
P2
51.2%
46.8%
P3
42.4%
45.5%
OT
44.4%
78.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |