Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 45.7%). Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Holland 45.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 66.8%
Defensive zone
Holland 59.0%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 51.5%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Hodgson
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hodgson
Holland
Last 8: Hodgson 4-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
0
Hodgson
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Hodgson
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Hodgson
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
45.6% (2,232)
+0.6%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
52.4% (126)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
42.3% (137)
+0.4%
On power play, Holland has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Holland is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Holland
Home
48.8% (1,431)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Hodgson
Holland
P1
47.9%
46.1%
P2
48.9%
47.3%
P3
42.3%
43.9%
OT
44.1%
39.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Peter Holland |