Scouting Report
Cody Hodgson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Horak 43.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 65.6%
Defensive zone
Horak 71.7%
Neutral zone
Horak 54.6%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Hodgson
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hodgson
Horak
Last 9: Hodgson 4-5 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
1
Hodgson
Horak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hodgson
Horak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
40.1% (399)
+6.3%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
53.8% (26)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
50.0% (14)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Hodgson shoots right. Horak is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Horak
Home
50.3% (286)
40.5% (227)
Away
43.6% (424)
42.5% (214)
By Period
Hodgson
Horak
P1
48.2%
42.3%
P2
49.2%
40.5%
P3
41.9%
41.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |