Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 78.3%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 76.2%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 83.1%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Hodgson
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Hodgson
Kesler
Last 10: Hodgson 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Hodgson
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Hodgson
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Hodgson
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
56.4% (8,095)
-10.2%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
60.7% (1,437)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Kesler
Home
48.8% (1,431)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Hodgson
Kesler
P1
47.9%
56.5%
P2
48.9%
55.9%
P3
42.3%
56.1%
OT
44.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |