Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 46.8%). Look for Hodgson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hodgson wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Gagner 47.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 58.2%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 51.5%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hodgson
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hodgson
Gagner
Last 5: Hodgson 4-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
1
Hodgson
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
45.9% (815)
+0.5%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
55.3% (132)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
25.0% (16)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hodgson is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Hodgson shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Gagner
Home
48.8% (490)
48.7% (542)
Away
44.7% (479)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Hodgson
Gagner
P1
46.6%
45.1%
P2
51.2%
46.6%
P3
42.4%
49.7%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |