Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Crosby 50.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 72.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 73.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Hodgson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hodgson
Crosby
Last 5: Hodgson 4-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
1
Hodgson
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
49.3% (335)
-2.9%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
54.7% (106)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
28.6% (7)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Hodgson shoots right. Crosby is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Crosby
Home
50.3% (286)
57.1% (240)
Away
43.6% (424)
42.3% (213)
By Period
Hodgson
Crosby
P1
48.2%
55.0%
P2
49.2%
46.3%
P3
41.9%
50.0%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |