Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hodgson wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Stamkos 49.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Hodgson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Hodgson
Stamkos
Last 10: Hodgson 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
4
0
Hodgson
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hodgson
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hodgson
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (713)
49.0% (433)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.6% (210)
54.3% (70)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
38.5% (26)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hodgson is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Hodgson shoots right. Stamkos is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Stamkos
Home
48.8% (490)
51.1% (327)
Away
44.7% (479)
46.0% (202)
By Period
Hodgson
Stamkos
P1
46.6%
46.6%
P2
51.2%
51.5%
P3
42.4%
48.6%
OT
44.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |