Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Smith 48.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 72.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.7%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 58.3%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Hodgson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Hodgson
Smith
Last 10: Hodgson 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Hodgson
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
6
Hodgson
Smith
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
7
9
Hodgson
Smith
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
49.0% (769)
-2.8%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
63.6% (22)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
42.4% (118)
+0.3%
On power play, Smith has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Smith
Home
48.8% (1,431)
52.4% (490)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Hodgson
Smith
P1
47.9%
46.9%
P2
48.9%
51.2%
P3
42.3%
47.7%
OT
44.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |