Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 35-18 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 82.4%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 91.9%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 86.0%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Hodgson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
35
(53 meetings)
18
35
Hodgson
Bozak
Last 10: Hodgson 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Hodgson
Bozak
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
12
Hodgson
Bozak
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
14
Hodgson
Bozak
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
55.2% (1,990)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.3%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Bozak
Home
48.8% (1,431)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Hodgson
Bozak
P1
47.9%
53.2%
P2
48.9%
52.8%
P3
42.3%
54.5%
OT
44.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |