Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hodgson wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Bozak 52.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 79.5%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 87.0%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 81.4%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Hodgson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Hodgson
Bozak
Last 10: Hodgson 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
7
Hodgson
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
6
Hodgson
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
7
Hodgson
Bozak
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
52.8% (697)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
50.9% (171)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
53.3% (195)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hodgson is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Hodgson shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Bozak
Home
49.5% (382)
52.1% (530)
Away
44.4% (430)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Hodgson
Bozak
P1
48.5%
54.1%
P2
48.9%
50.6%
P3
42.5%
53.4%
OT
53.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |