Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. McCormick wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Tavares 54.4% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 55.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 84.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
McCormick
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McCormick
Tavares
Last 7: McCormick 5-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
1
0
McCormick
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
0
McCormick
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCormick
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
54.0% (15,885)
-7.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
56.5% (4,221)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
50.7% (612)
-9.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McCormick is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (515).
McCormick shoots right. Tavares is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (7,429).
Home / Away
McCormick
Tavares
Home
47.9% (486)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
42.6% (364)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
McCormick
Tavares
P1
47.8%
55.1%
P2
42.4%
54.1%
P3
46.5%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | OT | 03:45 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |