Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 50.0% vs Tavares 52.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.4%
Defensive zone
McCormick 84.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McCormick
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McCormick
Tavares
Last 6: McCormick 4-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
1
0
McCormick
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
0
McCormick
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
McCormick
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (196)
52.4% (1,121)
+1.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
51.3% (304)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
58.8% (17)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McCormick is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
McCormick shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
McCormick
Tavares
Home
52.2% (161)
56.5% (731)
Away
47.4% (133)
47.8% (711)
By Period
McCormick
Tavares
P1
48.5%
56.1%
P2
46.7%
50.3%
P3
54.0%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | OT | 03:45 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |