Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCormick wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Bonino 50.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 78.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 72.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
McCormick
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McCormick
Bonino
Last 6: McCormick 5-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
4
1
McCormick
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCormick
1
0
McCormick
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
50.6% (8,315)
-4.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
54.1% (972)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
44.6% (1,693)
-3.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McCormick is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (515).
McCormick shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
McCormick
Bonino
Home
47.9% (486)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
42.6% (364)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
McCormick
Bonino
P1
47.8%
50.6%
P2
42.4%
48.5%
P3
46.5%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |