Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McCormick wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 52.5%
Defensive zone
McCormick 58.3%
Neutral zone
McCormick 54.1%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McCormick
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McCormick
Kesler
Last 10: McCormick 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
McCormick
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
McCormick
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCormick
5
2
McCormick
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
56.4% (8,095)
-10.1%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
60.7% (1,437)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
50.5% (1,908)
-8.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McCormick is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (335).
McCormick shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
McCormick
Kesler
Home
47.9% (486)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
42.6% (364)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
McCormick
Kesler
P1
47.8%
56.5%
P2
42.4%
55.9%
P3
46.5%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |