Scouting Report
Colby Cave holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cave on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pietila wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cave shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pietila 47.3% vs Cave 50.1% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pietila 53.7%
Defensive zone
Pietila 54.6%
Neutral zone
Pietila 56.5%
Result
Blake Pietila favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Pietila
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pietila
Cave
Last 6: Pietila 2-4 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pietila
Cave
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
1
3
Pietila
Cave
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pietila
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (68)
50.8% (356)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
36.4% (11)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.9% (32)
+3.1%
On power play, Pietila has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Pietila is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Pietila shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Pietila
Cave
Home
37.5% (16)
46.7% (184)
Away
45.5% (66)
53.0% (215)
By Period
Pietila
Cave
P1
25.0%
45.3%
P2
42.9%
51.9%
P3
58.6%
53.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pietila
38.0%▼
46.5%
43.9%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Colby Cave |