Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 48.4% vs MacKenzie 51.8% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cave 79.7%
Defensive zone
Cave 52.1%
Neutral zone
Cave 67.7%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Cave
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cave
MacKenzie
Last 7: Cave 2-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Cave
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cave
MacKenzie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Cave
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (23)
55.7% (438)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.4% (162)
-41.4%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Cave is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Cave shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Cave
MacKenzie
Home
60.0% (5)
51.3% (312)
Away
36.8% (19)
52.9% (293)
By Period
Cave
MacKenzie
P1
50.0%
50.5%
P2
41.7%
48.8%
P3
25.0%
57.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
41.7%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |