Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cave on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Wallmark 50.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 52.1%
Defensive zone
Cave 50.5%
Neutral zone
Cave 50.1%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Cave
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cave
Wallmark
Last 6: Cave 3-3 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cave
3
1
Cave
Wallmark
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Cave
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Cave
Wallmark
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
50.5% (1,852)
-0.4%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
56.3% (103)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
44.9% (216)
-3.0%
On power play, Wallmark has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Cave shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Cave
Wallmark
Home
46.8% (233)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
51.3% (267)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Cave
Wallmark
P1
46.3%
51.4%
P2
48.3%
50.8%
P3
53.7%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Colby Cave |