Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.9%). Look for Cave on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 50.1% vs Wallmark 50.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cave 51.1%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 52.8%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 58.4%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cave
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cave
Wallmark
Last 5: Cave 3-2 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cave
3
0
Cave
Wallmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Cave
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Cave
Wallmark
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (356)
51.8% (956)
-1.0%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
44.1% (59)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
47.4% (114)
-0.5%
On power play, Wallmark has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Cave shoots left. Wallmark is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Cave
Wallmark
Home
46.7% (184)
52.5% (579)
Away
53.0% (215)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Cave
Wallmark
P1
45.3%
54.4%
P2
51.9%
48.8%
P3
53.6%
50.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Colby Cave |