Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cave on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 72.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 64.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Cave
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cave
Steel
Last 5: Cave 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cave
3
0
Cave
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
1
0
Cave
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Cave
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
50.6% (2,876)
-0.5%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
62.6% (179)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
37.4% (254)
+4.5%
On power play, Steel has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Cave shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Cave
Steel
Home
46.8% (233)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
51.3% (267)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Cave
Steel
P1
46.3%
51.9%
P2
48.3%
49.5%
P3
53.7%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |