Scouting Report
Colby Cave holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cave on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 50.1% vs Steel 49.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 50.9%
Defensive zone
Cave 61.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.5%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Cave
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cave
Steel
Last 5: Cave 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cave
3
0
Cave
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
1
0
Cave
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Cave
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (356)
49.5% (204)
+1.3%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
57.1% (7)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
33.3% (9)
+13.6%
On power play, Steel has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Cave shoots left. Steel is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Cave
Steel
Home
46.7% (184)
53.2% (77)
Away
53.0% (215)
46.9% (143)
By Period
Cave
Steel
P1
45.3%
45.5%
P2
51.9%
49.4%
P3
53.6%
52.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |