Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cave on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cave wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 48.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 86.1%
Defensive zone
Cave 72.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.1%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Cave
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cave
Crosby
Last 7: Cave 4-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Cave
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
4
1
Cave
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (66)
55.9% (676)
-7.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.7% (171)
+43.3%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
46.3% (41)
-16.3%
On power play, Cave has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Cave is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Cave shoots left. Crosby is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Cave
Crosby
Home
45.5% (44)
57.7% (454)
Away
48.5% (33)
53.5% (434)
By Period
Cave
Crosby
P1
50.0%
55.9%
P2
34.5%
53.0%
P3
60.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
40.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Colby Cave |