Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.1%). Cave wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Johnston 49.1% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 51.5%
Defensive zone
Cave 52.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.8%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Cave
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
49.3% (2,189)
+0.8%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
52.6% (173)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
44.7% (237)
-2.8%
On power play, Johnston has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Cave is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Cave shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Cave
Johnston
Home
46.8% (233)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
51.3% (267)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Cave
Johnston
P1
46.3%
50.1%
P2
48.3%
48.3%
P3
53.7%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%