Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.5%). Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schwindt shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Schwindt 50.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 51.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 50.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 51.7%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Gaudette
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gaudette
Schwindt
Last 6: Gaudette 5-1 Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Schwindt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Schwindt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Schwindt
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
49.8% (209)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
50.0% (2)
+8.3%
On power play, Gaudette has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Gaudette is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Gaudette shoots right. Schwindt is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Schwindt
Home
54.4% (206)
47.2% (123)
Away
44.4% (144)
54.7% (95)
By Period
Gaudette
Schwindt
P1
49.2%
50.8%
P2
50.4%
51.2%
P3
51.6%
49.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |