Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwindt wins 36.8% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 46.8% vs Finley 48.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Finley leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schwindt 70.0%
Defensive zone
Finley 65.4%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 54.7%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Schwindt
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Schwindt
Finley
Last 10: Schwindt 5-5 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Finley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
1
2
Schwindt
Finley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
3
4
Schwindt
Finley
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (122)
47.3% (239)
-3.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (14)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
57.7% (26)
-13.3%
On power play, Schwindt has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Schwindt is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Schwindt shoots right. Finley is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Finley
Home
40.3% (77)
50.0% (162)
Away
50.0% (58)
46.2% (117)
By Period
Schwindt
Finley
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
42.9%
44.6%
P3
43.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Jack Finley |