Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Schwindt wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 49.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 79.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.7%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 62.3%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Schwindt
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Schwindt
Eller
Last 8: Schwindt 2-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schwindt
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Schwindt
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (370)
51.1% (10,296)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
52.8% (621)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
46.7% (1,751)
+9.6%
On power play, Schwindt has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schwindt is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Schwindt shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Eller
Home
45.5% (213)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
52.5% (179)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Schwindt
Eller
P1
51.8%
51.2%
P2
48.6%
50.1%
P3
46.2%
50.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |