Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schwindt wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 49.0% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 63.6%
Defensive zone
Schwindt 68.1%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 63.5%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Schwindt
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Schwindt
Suzuki
Last 8: Schwindt 2-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Schwindt
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Schwindt
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (370)
49.4% (6,327)
-1.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
50.7% (1,338)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
43.6% (456)
+12.7%
On power play, Schwindt has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Schwindt is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Schwindt shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Suzuki
Home
45.5% (213)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
52.5% (179)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Schwindt
Suzuki
P1
51.8%
48.8%
P2
48.6%
49.1%
P3
46.2%
50.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |