Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sillinger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Sillinger 45.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 69.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 90.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 80.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Lizotte
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lizotte
Sillinger
Last 5: Lizotte 5-0 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Sillinger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Sillinger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
44.6% (639)
+7.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
54.3% (35)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
18.2% (22)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Sillinger
Home
51.4% (383)
45.5% (365)
Away
50.9% (424)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Lizotte
Sillinger
P1
48.8%
42.5%
P2
51.0%
43.9%
P3
53.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |