Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Thompson 45.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Sillinger
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sillinger
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Sillinger
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (99)
44.9% (642)
-7.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
47.9% (94)
+52.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
33.3% (33)
+16.7%
On power play, Sillinger has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Sillinger is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Sillinger shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Thompson
Home
35.2% (54)
46.0% (391)
Away
43.6% (55)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Sillinger
Thompson
P1
45.5%
48.1%
P2
28.6%
44.9%
P3
38.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
37.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |