Colin Blackwell vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.3% vs Ostapchuk 52.4% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 52.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 78.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 62.3%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (123)
55.6% (232)
-9.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (66)
33.3% (21)
+0.0%
On even strength, Ostapchuk has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Blackwell is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Blackwell shoots right. Ostapchuk is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Home
42.0% (100)
50.0% (106)
Away
40.7% (91)
55.7% (149)
By Period
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
P1
48.5%
51.1%
P2
31.3%
50.6%
P3
44.1%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
41.4%
Ostapchuk
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |