Colin Blackwell vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.7% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 55.8%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 72.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 64.0%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (172)
51.7% (300)
-3.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (82)
43.6% (55)
-11.9%
On power play, Ostapchuk has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Blackwell is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Blackwell shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Home
43.8% (144)
49.1% (161)
Away
41.1% (112)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
P1
45.3%
50.0%
P2
36.1%
45.7%
P3
46.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.6%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |