Scouting Report
Andrew Murray holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Murray 48.9% vs Fraser 45.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Murray 67.8%
Defensive zone
Fraser 76.3%
Neutral zone
Fraser 55.8%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Murray
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Murray
Fraser
Last 8: Murray 4-4 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Murray
Fraser
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Murray
Fraser
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Murray
Fraser
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Murray
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (37)
47.6% (382)
+3.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
62.5% (16)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
34.9% (152)
-34.9%
On power play, Fraser has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Murray is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Murray shoots left. Fraser is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Murray
Fraser
Home
36.8% (19)
47.1% (293)
Away
54.5% (22)
41.7% (259)
By Period
Murray
Fraser
P1
38.9%
46.3%
P2
45.5%
43.1%
P3
58.3%
44.7%
Final 5 min
66.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Murray
46.0%▲
42.9%
46.3%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Andrew Murray |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Andrew Murray |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Andrew Murray |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Andrew Murray |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |