Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Emmerton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Emmerton 47.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Emmerton leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 55.9%
Defensive zone
Fraser 71.2%
Neutral zone
Fraser 60.2%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Fraser
Emmerton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Fraser
Emmerton
Last 10: Fraser 5-5 Emmerton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
4
Fraser
Emmerton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Emmerton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
4
8
Fraser
Emmerton
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Emmerton
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
47.1% (764)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
45.5% (11)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
52.5% (59)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Emmerton shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Fraser
Emmerton
Home
48.6% (661)
47.2% (453)
Away
44.0% (602)
47.8% (381)
By Period
Fraser
Emmerton
P1
46.7%
45.4%
P2
46.4%
48.5%
P3
46.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |