Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Helm 50.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 62.2%
Defensive zone
Fraser 63.7%
Neutral zone
Fraser 62.7%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Fraser
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Fraser
Helm
Last 9: Fraser 2-7 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
2
Fraser
Helm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
4
Fraser
Helm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Helm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
51.1% (2,790)
-3.1%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
54.7% (148)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
48.0% (719)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Home / Away
Fraser
Helm
Home
48.6% (661)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
44.0% (602)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
Fraser
Helm
P1
46.7%
49.5%
P2
46.4%
52.8%
P3
46.2%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Darren Helm |