Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fraser wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Helm 52.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 65.8%
Defensive zone
Fraser 68.2%
Neutral zone
Fraser 66.2%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Fraser
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Fraser
Helm
Last 6: Fraser 1-5 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
1
Fraser
Helm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
4
Fraser
Helm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Helm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
52.9% (678)
-5.3%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
53.8% (13)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
50.6% (235)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Fraser is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Fraser shoots left. Helm is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Fraser
Helm
Home
47.1% (293)
56.5% (444)
Away
41.7% (259)
49.0% (494)
By Period
Fraser
Helm
P1
46.3%
54.6%
P2
43.1%
51.8%
P3
44.7%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Darren Helm |