Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 45.1%). Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Bolland 45.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 54.6%
Defensive zone
Fraser 50.8%
Neutral zone
Fraser 54.6%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Fraser
Bolland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fraser
Bolland
Last 6: Fraser 2-4 Bolland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Bolland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Bolland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
0
3
Fraser
Bolland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Bolland
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
46.0% (781)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
47.6% (84)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
39.0% (141)
-4.1%
On power play, Fraser has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bolland shoots right. Fraser is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Fraser shoots left. Bolland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (772).
Home / Away
Fraser
Bolland
Home
47.1% (293)
45.9% (540)
Away
41.7% (259)
44.2% (468)
By Period
Fraser
Bolland
P1
46.3%
45.0%
P2
43.1%
44.7%
P3
44.7%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
23.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |