Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Bolland 48.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 62.7%
Defensive zone
Bolland 68.8%
Neutral zone
Bolland 55.0%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Fraser
Bolland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Bolland
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Bolland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Bolland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Bolland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Bolland
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
49.5% (913)
-0.7%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
48.3% (87)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
44.1% (195)
-5.6%
On power play, Bolland has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bolland shoots right. Fraser is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Fraser shoots left. Bolland is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Home / Away
Fraser
Bolland
Home
49.7% (189)
50.8% (622)
Away
44.8% (181)
45.8% (581)
By Period
Fraser
Bolland
P1
44.6%
47.1%
P2
48.1%
47.8%
P3
49.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |