Colin Fraser vs Derek MacKenzie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 71.0%
Defensive zone
Fraser 63.3%
Neutral zone
Fraser 67.3%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Fraser
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Fraser
MacKenzie
Last 9: Fraser 3-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Fraser
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Fraser
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
54.9% (3,660)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
55.9% (102)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
46.7% (1,158)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Fraser
MacKenzie
Home
48.6% (661)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
44.0% (602)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Fraser
MacKenzie
P1
46.7%
51.9%
P2
46.4%
53.0%
P3
46.2%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
65.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |