Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.6%). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs McBain 46.7% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Fraser 52.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 53.1%
Neutral zone
Fraser 52.3%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Fraser
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
48.0% (2,298)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
49.0% (51)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
35.7% (308)
+0.1%
On power play, Fraser has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Fraser
McBain
Home
48.6% (661)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
44.0% (602)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Fraser
McBain
P1
46.7%
46.7%
P2
46.4%
47.5%
P3
46.2%
45.6%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%