Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Slater 56.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Slater 52.0%
Defensive zone
Slater 81.3%
Neutral zone
Slater 67.9%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Fraser
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Fraser
Slater
Last 9: Fraser 5-4 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
2
Fraser
Slater
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
5
2
Fraser
Slater
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
58.9% (1,983)
-10.9%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
65.2% (46)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
51.4% (722)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Slater has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Slater is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,721).
Home / Away
Fraser
Slater
Home
48.6% (661)
60.9% (1,436)
Away
44.0% (602)
52.7% (1,329)
By Period
Fraser
Slater
P1
46.7%
57.0%
P2
46.4%
55.6%
P3
46.2%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |