Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 43.9%). Look for Korpikoski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fraser wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Korpikoski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Korpikoski 45.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Korpikoski 75.6%
Defensive zone
Fraser 74.1%
Neutral zone
Fraser 54.0%
Result
Lauri Korpikoski favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Fraser
Korpikoski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fraser
Korpikoski
Last 6: Fraser 2-4 Korpikoski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
1
2
Fraser
Korpikoski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
0
1
Fraser
Korpikoski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Korpikoski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Korpikoski
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
46.1% (191)
+1.5%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
40.0% (35)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
29.4% (17)
+5.5%
On power play, Fraser has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Korpikoski shoots left. Fraser is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Fraser shoots left. Korpikoski is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Fraser
Korpikoski
Home
47.1% (293)
42.3% (142)
Away
41.7% (259)
46.1% (102)
By Period
Fraser
Korpikoski
P1
46.3%
37.1%
P2
43.1%
43.6%
P3
44.7%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Lauri Korpikoski |