Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Johansson 44.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 59.0%
Defensive zone
Fraser 79.8%
Neutral zone
Fraser 62.1%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Fraser
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Fraser
Johansson
Last 6: Fraser 5-1 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Johansson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
3
0
Fraser
Johansson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Johansson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
43.2% (576)
+5.6%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
42.9% (112)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
28.6% (7)
+9.9%
On power play, Johansson has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Johansson is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Fraser
Johansson
Home
49.7% (189)
44.2% (360)
Away
44.8% (181)
42.3% (350)
By Period
Fraser
Johansson
P1
44.6%
46.2%
P2
48.1%
42.6%
P3
49.1%
41.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2012 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |