Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fraser 87.9%
Defensive zone
Fraser 83.5%
Neutral zone
Fraser 83.1%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Fraser
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Fraser
Hanzal
Last 10: Fraser 2-8 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
5
Fraser
Hanzal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
3
Fraser
Hanzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Fraser
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
54.0% (5,547)
-6.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
56.7% (1,179)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
46.0% (644)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Fraser
Hanzal
Home
48.6% (661)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
44.0% (602)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Fraser
Hanzal
P1
46.7%
54.9%
P2
46.4%
53.6%
P3
46.2%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 23, 2010 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |