Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Handzus 51.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Fraser 66.8%
Defensive zone
Fraser 65.6%
Neutral zone
Fraser 65.8%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Fraser
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Fraser
Handzus
Last 10: Fraser 4-6 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
2
6
Fraser
Handzus
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
2
3
Fraser
Handzus
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Fraser
Handzus
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
51.5% (2,438)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
58.0% (286)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
47.3% (471)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Handzus has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Home / Away
Fraser
Handzus
Home
48.6% (661)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
44.0% (602)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Fraser
Handzus
P1
46.7%
52.5%
P2
46.4%
53.7%
P3
46.2%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |