Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Koivu 54.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Fraser 56.7%
Defensive zone
Fraser 57.6%
Neutral zone
Fraser 55.7%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Fraser
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Fraser
Koivu
Last 10: Fraser 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
8
Fraser
Koivu
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
5
1
Fraser
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
54.0% (9,465)
-6.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
58.6% (2,100)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
48.9% (1,688)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Fraser
Koivu
Home
48.6% (661)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
44.0% (602)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Fraser
Koivu
P1
46.7%
53.5%
P2
46.4%
54.6%
P3
46.2%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |